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Exposure Accumulation

Terrorism Scenario Model

Probabilistic Terrorism Model

Global Terrorism Risk Model

   
 

Solutions

The nature of terrorism risk is different from natural perils, and uncertainty in the identification of terrorist targets and frequency of attack dictate a different approach to the management of terrorism risk. RMS has developed a suite of products that can be used to analyze terrorism risk from a number of angles, allowing risk managers to triangulate on the risk.

Exposure Accumulation

Exposure accumulation functionality embedded in RiskLink® and RiskBrowser® allows users to identify and quantify multi-line concentrations of business in any user-defined radius using an optimization algorithm. Sanborn CitySets™ Building Data provides the ability to locate addresses within a specific building and can provide missing building attribute information (construction type, height, etc.) in high-risk urban areas. Concentrations of exposure can be identified and quantified anywhere in the world.

Terrorism Scenario Model

The Terrorism Scenario Model, available in RiskLink®, allows users to model multi-line losses arising from scenarios of any of 32 attack modes modeled by RMS at a target location. In the U.S., attacks can be modeled at locations on a 3,914-site target list developed by RMS in conjunction with a team of terrorism experts, or at any user-defined location. Outside of the U.S., attacks can be modeled at any user-defined location. In addition, RMS has developed an algorithm to systematically identify the target location(s) that would lead to the worst possible losses for a given attack mode and portfolio.

Probabilistic Terrorism Model

The Probabilistic Terrorism Model, a stand-alone product, produces fully probabilistic output consistent with the RiskLink® natural peril models (OEP/AEP, AAL, event loss table). Given the dynamic nature of terrorism risk, along with the fact that typical insurance policies are in force for one year, it is highly likely that the threat level will change over the course of the year. Therefore, the model provides alternative Risk Outlooks that allow the user to incorporate potential increased/decreased threat levels in order to perform 'what-if' probabilistic analyses. OEP and AEP results from the model can also be combined with RiskLink natural peril EP results.

Global Terrorism Risk Model

The Global Terrorism Risk Model, a stand-alone product, provides metrics for the frequency and severity of terrorism losses in each of 228 countries and territories worldwide for use in the management of global terrorism risk. The targeting preferences and risk patterns of terrorist threat groups in each territory are reflected in the model. The application supports country, location, and portfolio analyses for property, business interruption, and human casualty coverages in all countries and territories.

Consulting

RMS consulting services can also assist with quantification of accumulations and potential losses. RMS has helped insurers, reinsurers, brokers, corporations, and government entities perform the following:
Analyses of multiline exposure accumulations
Loss modeling for property, workers comp, and life and health lines of business
Evaluate pricing structures
Assess underwriting guidelines and risk scoring
Terrorism risk securitization

 

 

Related Information

Terrorism Risk Brochure
Accumulation Management Brochure
Managing Terrorism Risk
Sanborn CitySets® Building Data
 

 

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